明星大侦探

The number of job openings fell to 8.8 million at the end of July, down from the prior month’s revised 9.1 million in a sign that the economy is downshifting, the Labor Department reported on Tuesday.

The drop brings the number about 2.5 million below the 11.4 million available jobs of a year ago.

Openings fell in professional and business services, down 198,000; health care and social assistance, off by 130,000; and state and local government, including education, where the combined losses totaled 129,000. There was a strong increase in information industry jobs, up by 101,000; and in transportation, warehousing and utilities, where openings increased by 75,000.

“Now it is taking a bit longer for jobseekers to find a job,” said Julia Pollak, chief economist for ZipRecruiter. “There’s meaningful slack in the job market, but it is still a historically tight job market. Overall, I still see the U.S. labor market as understaffed.”

The government will report the monthly jobs number for August on Friday with expectations for a gain of about 168,000 jobs.

“Investors should expect a softening labor report this Friday, further cementing the thesis that the Fed is getting close to finishing its tightening cycle,” said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial.

Meanwhile, the Conference Board’s consumer confidence index for August found a pullback as Americans grew more concerned about rising prices of gasoline and groceries.

The present situation index – a reading of how consumers assess the current economy – fell to 144.8 from 153.0 in July. The expectations index, a forward-looking measure, declined to 80.2 from July’s bump to 88.

“Consumer confidence fell in August 2023, erasing back-to-back increases in June and July,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at the business organization. “August’s disappointing headline number reflected dips in both the current conditions and expectations indexes. Write-in responses showed that consumers were once again preoccupied with rising prices in general, and for groceries and gasoline in particular.”

“The pullback in consumer confidence was evident across all age groups – and most notable among consumers with household incomes of $100,000 or more, as well as those earning less than $50,000,” Peterson added. “Confidence held relatively steady for consumers with incomes between $50,000 and $99,999.”

Consumers expected higher interest rates to come, while also lowering their assessment of the probability of a recession.

Also Tuesday, home prices rose 0.9% in June, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index. Prices were unchanged on a year-over-year basis.

"U.S. home prices continued to increase in June 2023," said Craig J. Lazzara, Managing Director at S&P DJI. "Our National Composite rose by 0.9% in June, and it now stands only -0.02% below its all time peak from exactly one year ago. Our 10- and 20-City Composites likewise each gained 0.9% in June 2023, and stand -0.5% and -1.2%, respectively, below their June 2022 peaks.”

"As we've noted previously, the recovery in home prices is broadly based,” Lazzara added. “Prices rose in all 20 cities in June, both before and after seasonal adjustment. Over the last 12 months, 10 cities show positive returns. Otherwise said, half the cities in our sample now sit at all-time high prices.

“Today’s market offers buyers the frustrating combination of low inventory and high home prices,” said Realtor.com economic data analyst Hannah Jones. “Many existing homeowners remain on the sidelines of the market, content to stay put as mortgage rates reach 20-year highs.”

“As a result, home shoppers are seeing fewer existing homes for sale and facing more competition for the homes available,” Jones added. “Builders have started to pick up construction activity to fill this gap, but remain cautious as affordability challenges continue to stifle buyer demand.”

本报讯（记者 戚珊珊）在近日举行的CBA2022年选秀大会上，拥有19号签和39号签的浙江广厦男篮两次举牌弃权。有细心的球迷发现一个现象：从2015年CBA开始实行选秀制度至今，广厦男篮是联盟中唯一从未在选秀中选过任何球员的队伍。一条获得高赞的评论给出了解读：“傲人的青训战绩，充足的后备力量已经让广厦男篮在用人上游刃有余。”确实，从“广厦三少”胡金秋、赵岩昊、孙铭徽开始，到朱俊龙、赵嘉仁、赵嘉义兄弟，再到00后小将许可、纪卓等，近年来，天赋型的新人井喷式涌现。

B | 一直以来，广厦深谙“青训是基础，是保证一支球队常盛不衰的不二法门”的道理。2005年俱乐部成立之初便着手组建青训，17年来在全国各级别青少年比赛中取得上佳战绩，为中国篮球和CBA联赛培养了大批人才。

负责广厦青训的俱乐部副总鞠海峰告诉记者，“现在除了传统的二队和三队，前几年增设了少年队也就是四队，梯队建设更加完善。随着U8、U10等小篮球联赛的普及，现在学习篮球呈现出小龄化趋势。

C | ”鞠海峰时常遍访全国各地，只为寻觅招揽好苗子。“我们为一队输送人才，首先会选择自己青年队的队员，毕竟从小培养彼此了解，同时也会考虑从外面引进补强。”在担任俱乐部总经理之前，缪寿守曾掌管广厦青训十年，被称为“CBA第一球探”。2012年他远赴新疆，帮助广厦在和新疆男篮、清华附中的竞争中胜出，抢到了当时还是一块“璞玉”的胡金秋。胡金秋15岁来到杭州之后才开始接受职业篮球训练，时任青年队教练的鞠海峰让他从拍球等基本功练起，几乎是从头来过。对青训队员日复一日的培育浇灌，直至枝茂花开要等待良久，是一种延迟满足。

D | 上赛季，胡金秋捧起了常规赛MVP奖杯，而年轻的广厦再度打入总决赛，虽然最终因伤落败，但他们距离冠军梦想越来越近。“从小看着他们长大，这些孩子能够成才，所有青训教练都会觉得非常欣慰，成就感很足。”鞠海峰说。事实上，本次选秀大会共80人报名，最终多达62人落选。青训实力强的球队选人尤为慎重。广东男篮总经理朱芳雨在谈到选人标准时直言不讳，“我们自己的青训体系非常完善，给了你机会就减少了青训一个队员的机会，我要做取舍。”奉行优胜劣汰的职业赛场极为残酷，许多强将通过选秀大会走上梦寐以求的职业赛场并站稳脚跟，但也有不少已经泯然众人。对各支球队而言，只有具备老辣的慧眼才能淘金成功。鞠海峰认为，尽管过去8年未选1人，但广厦并没有关上这扇门，选与不选都是基于球队情况而定，如果将来相中了合适的选秀人才，也会适时果断出手。

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Published on:08:54:17