生命之树

就现有“两国方案”，从目前来看，是解决巴勒斯坦问题的唯一途径，或者是唯一可行的方案。当然，我们说唯一可行，并不是说现在可行，因为从巴以冲突这个历史来看，大家尝试过各种方案。    When asked which party’s candidate they would vote for if elections were held today, 48% of likely US voters replied in favor of the Republican and 40% in favor of the Democrat, the poll found.,Another 4% said they would vote for another party’s candidate and the remaining 8% were not sure, according to the poll.,The poll surveyed 2,000 likely US voters between July 5-7 and has a sampling error of +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.,Row Over Roe: How Could SCOTUS Abortion Ruling Affect US Political Landscape Ahead of Midterms?25 June, 16:35 GMT,The Republican lead is attributable to their greater partisan intensity and a 12-point advantage among independent voters, according to the poll. Just 79% of Democrats would vote for their candidate in comparison to 88% of Republicans who would vote for theirs, the poll found.,Democratic support is highest among government employees and people with annual incomes over $200,000, the polling data showed. Republicans conversely lead by 10 percentage points among those in the $30,000-$50,000 annual income bracket and among private sector workers, according to the poll.,However, the divide between male and female support for the Republican Party widened from a seven-point gap to a nine-point gap, with 53% of men more likely to prefer Republicans compared to 44% of women, the poll also found.。

比如说“一国方案”。“一国方案”包括一个以色列，就是全部归以色列，一个巴勒斯坦全部归巴勒斯坦，就是所谓战争解决方案，你死我活。

B | 但是打了那么多年，先后四次大的中东战争，其实战争没有出路。最后大家和平进程推进“两国方案”。

其实在和平进程推进之前，还有一种方案。当然你也可以说，那是“一国方案”，就是把约旦河西岸推给约旦，就是所谓“约旦解决方案”。

这样的话，就没有所谓巴勒斯坦国了，那么约旦成为一个“大约旦”也有过这样的方案，而且约旦国王也曾经有这样的图谋。

C | 但是很快他认为这个不符合约旦实际定位，因为如果这样地推进下去，那有可能有一天约旦就不是约旦了，约旦就真的成了巴勒斯坦，所以他果断地放弃了“约旦解决方案”。

所以大家回到“两国方案”来，一个以色列，一个巴勒斯坦谈判，建立一个巴勒斯坦国来和平共处。

D | 但是现在“两国方案”是失败了，所以才走到了美国和以色列寻求通过隔离来找到一种他们认为现实的途径。

E | 但是，去年10月7日，哈马斯打破了美国以色列这样一种如意算盘。

我认为，这是美国和以色列这些年来认为他们终于找到了解决方案，其实这个解决方案是虚幻的。所以现在又重新回到了一个原点，怎么解决巴勒斯坦问题，现在全世界的答案是落实“两国方案”。

所以从这一点上来讲，我认同“两国方案”，经过这么多年历史的实践，最后大家还是要回到“两国方案”，这是唯一的途径。但是现实的障碍在以色列，因为任何“两国方案”要建立巴勒斯坦国，关键是领土在以色列手里控制着，所以现在最大障碍在以色列。

当然我们能不能期待以色列会出现一个相对理性的政府来接受这样一种和平共处，接受这样一种巴勒斯坦建国这样一种方案呢？我们不是不可以期待。但是关键的问题就是从目前的现实来讲，以色列政府以色列政坛不具备这样一种氛围，这是真正的难点所在。